The More Things Change

 

For the past few years I’ve been holding out hope for the potential dissolution of Sudan into Sudan and Southern Sudan in next year’s independence referendum. I have dreamed that this vote would be the impetus for the eventual fall of the Khartoum government led by President (and master genocidaire) Omar al-Bashir. Bashir’s loss of oil revenue from the south would weaken his ties with China and permanently label as the man who he let the south get away. Both those possibilities would be damaging to him.

 

However, the prospects of a successful launch for South Sudan seem slim. This article from the Economist suggests that the putative South Sudan may be such a weak state that civil war would likely follow. Whether that would give Bashir a new opportunity to recapture South Sudan or simply fracture it into an aborted state, the future looks dim. Out of the frying pan…

 

FDO

 

 

 

 

 

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